Strategic foresight report
Dimensions of environmental, social and economic sustainability
VS – 08/2023
In its
Communication of 13 July, the European Commission presented 2023 strategic foresight report. It provides an overview of the key
challenges facing Europe. With regard to successfully shaping change, there is
a need for action in ten areas. The need for a new European social contract is
mentioned first.
Making Europe fit for the future
The
annual strategic foresight report supports the European Commission in implementing the
objectives of the European Green Deal. It discusses various future scenarios
that form the basis for the European Commission's work programmes and multi-annual
programme planning. The topic on focus this year is sustainability and people's
well-being at the heart of Europe's open strategic autonomy.
Growing need for skills for a sustainable future.
Education
and training are the prerequisites for a sustainable future and an adaptable
society. The green transformation goes hand in hand with new fields of work.
This requires qualified employees. At the same time, labour demand in
traditional industrial sectors will decrease. Therefore, the foresight report calls for
a strategy of continuous training of employees. It is
emphasised here that the constant teaching of sufficient skills goes beyond
purely economic considerations. They are also crucial for active participation
in social life or for distinguishing facts from misinformation and
disinformation.
New economic model for the well-being of people and nature
The
foresight report emphasises the increasing pressure on the social and economic aspects
of sustainability. According to the report, the predominant focus on economic
factors without adequate consideration of the quality of growth and jobs has
led to unsustainable production and consumption practices. It is therefore
proposed to adjust the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to take into account
various factors such as health and the environment. The aim is to provide
policy-makers with meaningful economic indicators that take into account the
well-being of people and the conservation of nature.
New European social contract
The
foresight report emphasises that the existing social contract no longer does justice to
the new social and economic reality. For example, 40 per cent of the workforce
is currently in atypical employment, while social protection systems are mainly
geared towards traditional forms of employment (e.g. full-time employment,
permanent dependent employment). While young people, those born outside the European Union (EU) and women in particular are often not sufficiently covered.
The
foresight report therefore calls for the development of inclusive, high-quality social
services that cover all workers and better enable people to participate in the
economy. Due to the accompanying strengthening of the labour force potential,
this new social contract would also contribute significantly to the long-term
global competitiveness of the EU economy.
The 2023 strategic foresight report is due to be discussed by the Heads of State and Government at the informal European Council in Granada in October.