Rawpixel LtdPolicy responses to demographic change
OECD guidelines for policy measures at regional level.
VS – 10/2025
On
21 October, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
presented guidelines on how to respond to demographic change. The guidelines primarily address the regional
effects of demographic change. They address the associated challenges, such as
the ageing of society and the decline and spatial shift of the population. This
change is putting increasing pressure on public services, infrastructure, local
administration and finances. The authors emphasise that these changes require
proactive measures at all levels of government. Previous frameworks and
strategies have mostly been geared towards growth or stable populations and
were not designed for adaptation. The seven guidelines aim to provide national
and subnational authorities with practical guidance on responding to changes in
population, structure and space in a more forward-looking, coordinated and
inclusive manner.
Multi-level governance approach
The
guidelines recommend coordinated alignment and cooperation across different
levels of government and functional areas, rather than isolated individual
measures. The aim is to address complex policy challenges – such as demographic
change – in a coherent and effective manner. This also requires the inclusion
of non-state actors such as civil society, the business sector, and academia.
This multi-level governance approach combines steering, cooperation, and
participation within an integrated system. It is particularly relevant for
policy areas characterised by territorial differences, such as infrastructure,
care, education, or the labour market.
Seven guidelines
The
OECD has developed seven key guidelines to assist governments in addressing
demographic change. The first two of these recommend forward planning and
territorial differentiation Population projections and scenarios should be
integrated into policy and development strategies at an early stage and adapted
to regional differences. This is intended to ensure that both national and
regional levels remain capable of taking effective action in the long term.
The
next three guidelines focus on aligning different national levels and policy
areas, involving civil society and businesses, and ensuring administrative and
human resource capacities. The intention is to facilitate coordination processes, strengthen acceptance
and innovation, and build and maintain skills and expertise at a regional
level.
The
final two guidelines concentrate on adapting financial mechanisms, services,
and infrastructure. The objective is to secure the financial base of regions
and municipalities particularly affected by demographic change and to align
public services flexibly and efficiently with changing population needs.
Mobilising all stakeholders
The
guidelines are intended to help governments better manage the complex impacts
of demographic change. They aim to ensure that shrinking and ageing regions are
not left behind, but are supported through strategic adaptation, innovation,
and solidarity. Alongside stronger networks and coordination,
the focus is on the people living in these regions. The authors place
particular emphasis on ensuring acceptance of the measures shaping this
essential process of adaptation. Taking regional and local preferences into
account, and enabling innovative regional solutions, is therefore of central
importance.
Impact of demographic change on European regions
In
its reporting on the impact of demographic change, the
European Commission highlights the significant differences in demographic
trends between regions. It emphasises the need to address the impact on growth,
sustainability, employment, health and social services. Demographic change not only entails an ageing
society but also a marked population shift from rural areas to urban centres.
According to Eurostat,
by 2050, almost three out of five urban regions are expected to experience
population growth, while a decline is projected in four out of five rural
regions. In view of these regional disparities, the OECD guidelines provide an
essential foundation for developing policy strategies to address the
consequences of demographic change in Europe.