Getty Images - serggnEuropean Semester
Commission focuses on human capital and competitiveness.
VS – 12/2025
On
1 and 2 December, the European Commission presented the autumn package of the European Semester to the Employment,
Social Policy, Health and Consumer Affairs Council (EPSCO). With this package,
the Commission sets out the political and economic priorities for the coming
cycle, placing particular emphasis on reforms and investments to strengthen
human capital and competitiveness.
Contents of the package
The
autumn package comprises the proposal for the Joint Employment Report, the Alert
Mechanism Report and the newly introduced European Macroeconomic Report, as well as a proposal for a Recommendation on Human Capital in the EU. In March 2026, the Council is
expected to approve the Joint Employment Report and formally adopt the
recommendation on human capital.
European Semester
The
European Semester is the central framework for coordinating and monitoring
economic, budgetary and social policies in the EU. The annual cycle begins in
November with the European Commission's autumn package, which sets out the
policy guidelines for the following year, and ends in October with the
submission of national budget plans. It provides the analytical and political
basis for reforms and investments and serves as a reference framework for for
guiding and assessing Member States' national reform and budget plans.
Joint Employment Report
According
to the Commission’s proposal, labour markets generally remain robust. At the
same time, certain structural weaknesses persist, threatening the EU’s global
competitiveness and social cohesion. These include, in particular, slow growth
in labour productivity and a pronounced shortage of labour and skilled workers.
The
Joint Employment Report also contains the results of the country analysis under
the framework for social upward convergence, based on the indicators of the
Social Scoreboard. Using these indicators, the risks to upward convergence for
all 27 Member States were initially identified. Subsequently, countries that,
due to limited progress, will undergo in-depth analysis in spring 2026 were
identified: Bulgaria, Finland, Greece, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg,
Romania, and Spain.
European Macroeconomic Report
The
European Macroeconomic Report, newly introduced in this semester cycle, is
intended to underpin the recommendations on economic policy for the euro area
and the Alert Mechanism Report. The report provides an analysis of the main
macroeconomic opportunities and risks. Key topics include productivity
challenges and measures to strengthen long-term competitiveness, for example
through promoting innovation, deepening the internal market, and mobilising
private investment.
Against
the backdrop of high savings rates in Europe and fragmented capital markets,
the report examines the potential benefits of a savings and investment union for more effective capital allocation within
the Union. It also highlights the growth and competitiveness challenges arising
from pressure on spending on pensions, health and long-term care due to the
ageing population.
Recommendation on Human Capital
For
the first time, the Commission is proposing a Recommendation on Human Capital
to the Council. It calls on Member States to mobilise both public and private
resources and invest in people. The recommendation emphasises that these social
investments benefit society, businesses and people alike and are essential for
Europe's competitiveness.
EU
Commissioner and Vice-President Roxana Mînzatu highlights that the European
Semester must place greater focus on social investments. Alongside education
and skills development, improved access to affordable housing is identified as
a key social policy priority. The Recommendation on Human Capital places
investment in people on an equal footing with the previous focus on capital
investment.
The
recommendation also highlights the importance of high-quality, up-to-date data
and analysis. This includes the recently launched Social Investment Knowledge Hub (see the news on social investment). The aim of
this hub is to bring together expertise that establishes a positive link
between social investment and economic growth and fiscal sustainability.
What happens next?
On
15 December, the Commission presented the Autumn Package at a joint meeting of
the Committees on Employment and Social Affairs (EMPL) and on Economic and
Monetary Affairs (ECON). Following this, the European Parliament will outline
its priorities, recommendations, and, where applicable, criticisms in a
resolution. In March 2026, the Joint Employment Report will be officially
approved by the Council, while the recommendation on human capital will be
formally adopted.